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Assessing the relationship between global warming and mortality: Lag effects of temperature fluctuations by age and mortality categories
Yu, Weiwei1,2; Mengersen, Kerrie3; Hu, Wenbiao4,5; Guo, Yuming1,2; Pan, Xiaochuan6; Tong, Shilu1,2
关键词Cardiovascular Deaths Lag Structure Mortality Temperature The Elderly
刊名ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION
2011-07-01
DOI10.1016/j.envpol.2011.03.039
159期:7页:1789-1793
收录类别SCI
文章类型Article
WOS标题词Science & Technology
类目[WOS]Environmental Sciences
资助者Australian Research Council ; NHMRC ; Queensland University of Technology ; Australian Research Council ; NHMRC ; Queensland University of Technology
研究领域[WOS]Environmental Sciences & Ecology
关键词[WOS]CASE-CROSSOVER ANALYSIS ; HEAT-RELATED DEATHS ; 15 EUROPEAN CITIES ; UNITED-STATES ; AMBIENT-TEMPERATURE ; AIR-POLLUTION ; CARDIOVASCULAR-DISEASE ; PLASMA-CHOLESTEROL ; DISTRIBUTED LAG ; SAO-PAULO
英文摘要

Although interests in assessing the relationship between temperature and mortality have arisen due to climate change, relatively few data are available on lag structure of temperature mortality relationship, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere. This study identified the lag effects of mean temperature on mortality among age groups and death categories using polynomial distributed lag models in Brisbane, Australia, a subtropical city, 1996-2004. For a 1 degrees C increase above the threshold, the highest percent increase in mortality on the current day occurred among people over 85 years (7.2% (95% Cl: 4.3%, 10.2%)). The effect estimates among cardiovascular deaths were higher than those among all-cause mortality. For a 1 C decrease below the threshold, the percent increases in mortality at 21 lag days were 3.9% (95% Cl: 1.9%, 6.0%) and 3.4% (95% Cl: 0.9%, 6.0%) for people aged over 85 years and with cardiovascular diseases, respectively. These findings may have implications for developing intervention strategies to reduce and prevent temperature-related mortality. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

语种英语
所属项目编号559655 ; 553043
资助者Australian Research Council ; NHMRC ; Queensland University of Technology ; Australian Research Council ; NHMRC ; Queensland University of Technology
WOS记录号WOS:000291774200007
Citation statistics
Cited Times:23[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.bjmu.edu.cn/handle/400002259/52510
Collection北京大学公共卫生学院
作者单位1.Univ Queensland, Sch Populat Hlth, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
2.Peking Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China
3.Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Brisbane, Qld 4050, Australia
4.Queensland Univ Technol, Inst Hlth & Biomed Innovat, Brisbane, Qld 4050, Australia
5.Queensland Univ Technol, Fac Sci & Technol, Discipline Math Sci, Brisbane, Qld 4050, Australia
6.Univ Queensland, Inst Hlth & Biomed Innovat, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Yu, Weiwei,Mengersen, Kerrie,Hu, Wenbiao,et al. Assessing the relationship between global warming and mortality: Lag effects of temperature fluctuations by age and mortality categories[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION,2011,159(7):1789-1793.
APA Yu, Weiwei,Mengersen, Kerrie,Hu, Wenbiao,Guo, Yuming,Pan, Xiaochuan,&Tong, Shilu.(2011).Assessing the relationship between global warming and mortality: Lag effects of temperature fluctuations by age and mortality categories.ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION,159(7),1789-1793.
MLA Yu, Weiwei,et al."Assessing the relationship between global warming and mortality: Lag effects of temperature fluctuations by age and mortality categories".ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION 159.7(2011):1789-1793.
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