学科主题 | 公共卫生 |
Assessing the relationship between global warming and mortality: Lag effects of temperature fluctuations by age and mortality categories | |
Yu, Weiwei1,2; Mengersen, Kerrie3; Hu, Wenbiao4,5; Guo, Yuming1,2; Pan, Xiaochuan6; Tong, Shilu1,2 | |
关键词 | Cardiovascular Deaths Lag Structure Mortality Temperature The Elderly |
刊名 | ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION
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2011-07-01 | |
DOI | 10.1016/j.envpol.2011.03.039 |
卷 | 159期:7页:1789-1793 |
收录类别 | SCI |
文章类型 | Article |
WOS标题词 | Science & Technology |
类目[WOS] | Environmental Sciences |
资助者 | Australian Research Council ; NHMRC ; Queensland University of Technology ; Australian Research Council ; NHMRC ; Queensland University of Technology |
研究领域[WOS] | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
关键词[WOS] | CASE-CROSSOVER ANALYSIS ; HEAT-RELATED DEATHS ; 15 EUROPEAN CITIES ; UNITED-STATES ; AMBIENT-TEMPERATURE ; AIR-POLLUTION ; CARDIOVASCULAR-DISEASE ; PLASMA-CHOLESTEROL ; DISTRIBUTED LAG ; SAO-PAULO |
英文摘要 | Although interests in assessing the relationship between temperature and mortality have arisen due to climate change, relatively few data are available on lag structure of temperature mortality relationship, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere. This study identified the lag effects of mean temperature on mortality among age groups and death categories using polynomial distributed lag models in Brisbane, Australia, a subtropical city, 1996-2004. For a 1 degrees C increase above the threshold, the highest percent increase in mortality on the current day occurred among people over 85 years (7.2% (95% Cl: 4.3%, 10.2%)). The effect estimates among cardiovascular deaths were higher than those among all-cause mortality. For a 1 C decrease below the threshold, the percent increases in mortality at 21 lag days were 3.9% (95% Cl: 1.9%, 6.0%) and 3.4% (95% Cl: 0.9%, 6.0%) for people aged over 85 years and with cardiovascular diseases, respectively. These findings may have implications for developing intervention strategies to reduce and prevent temperature-related mortality. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
语种 | 英语 |
所属项目编号 | 559655 ; 553043 |
资助者 | Australian Research Council ; NHMRC ; Queensland University of Technology ; Australian Research Council ; NHMRC ; Queensland University of Technology |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000291774200007 |
Citation statistics | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.bjmu.edu.cn/handle/400002259/52510 |
Collection | 北京大学公共卫生学院 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Queensland, Sch Populat Hlth, Brisbane, Qld, Australia 2.Peking Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Beijing 100191, Peoples R China 3.Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Publ Hlth, Brisbane, Qld 4050, Australia 4.Queensland Univ Technol, Inst Hlth & Biomed Innovat, Brisbane, Qld 4050, Australia 5.Queensland Univ Technol, Fac Sci & Technol, Discipline Math Sci, Brisbane, Qld 4050, Australia 6.Univ Queensland, Inst Hlth & Biomed Innovat, Brisbane, Qld, Australia |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Yu, Weiwei,Mengersen, Kerrie,Hu, Wenbiao,et al. Assessing the relationship between global warming and mortality: Lag effects of temperature fluctuations by age and mortality categories[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION,2011,159(7):1789-1793. |
APA | Yu, Weiwei,Mengersen, Kerrie,Hu, Wenbiao,Guo, Yuming,Pan, Xiaochuan,&Tong, Shilu.(2011).Assessing the relationship between global warming and mortality: Lag effects of temperature fluctuations by age and mortality categories.ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION,159(7),1789-1793. |
MLA | Yu, Weiwei,et al."Assessing the relationship between global warming and mortality: Lag effects of temperature fluctuations by age and mortality categories".ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION 159.7(2011):1789-1793. |
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